Sectoral Value Added and Labor Market Outcomes in Zambia: An Empirical Analysis
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Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
Resumen
This study examines the impact of value added of the Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Manufacturing, and Services sectors on Zambia’s unemployment rates and employment-to-population ratio. Using World Bank data from 1994 to 2023, the analysis employs Jamovi software for descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, and regression modeling. The findings indicate that the value added in the Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing sector is positively and significantly associated with the unemployment rate, implying that growth in this sector does not necessarily translate into job creation, possibly due to low productivity and the prevalence of informal employment. In contrast, expansion in the Services sector is positively associated with the employment-to-population ratio, indicating its stronger capacity to generate employment. The Manufacturing sector exhibits a weaker relationship with labor market indicators, suggesting its limited direct contribution to employment outcomes. In addition, the study reveals distinct sectoral dynamics: agricultural growth is associated with lower employment levels, whereas expansion in the services sector corresponds to higher employment rates. These findings highlight the need for policies that enhance agricultural productivity while fostering the expansion of the services sector to improve labor market performance. By providing new evidence on the relationship between sectoral growth and employment in Zambia, this study offers practical insights for policymakers seeking to strengthen sectoral contributions to inclusive employment growth.
Citas
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- Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
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- Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano
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